Strong Storms Likely This Weekend Around WNC, Wintry Precip Cant Be Ruled Out On Backside Into Monday

After several rounds of light rainfall intermittently through the week Wednesday through Friday, a strong frontal passage looks to occur Saturday & into Sunday around WNC. Models have a lot to hammer out with this system, but there is a chance for severe storms on Saturday, and snowfall sometime Sunday or Monday morning. The greatest chance for snowfall will be in the highest elevations of WNC above 3500’, but some models indicate that level could drop. Below I will detail out what the most recent models show.

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GFS Model

Notice how the strong frontal passage occurs on Saturday & Into Sunday bringing with it the chance for extremely heavy rainfall. I am expecting somewhere between 1.5” & 3” of rainfall for all of WNC on Saturday & into Sunday. This could cause flash flooding around the area. Then the backside will push through as the low pressure clears and that will bring the chance for wintry precipitation. The European model also shows this system occurring, but of course this far out there are several differences. Check out The European Model below.

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European Model

As you can see on the European model, it also shows the very strong frontal passage. There is a slight chance for severe on Saturday & into Sunday and that will include the chance for a low end tornado.

Lots To Unpack

There is a tremendous amount of information to unpack here with this system. Flash flooding will be possible with the chance for high winds and even hail on Saturday & into Sunday. A low end tornado threat also exists for WNC. Then moving into Sunday night & Monday I am watching for the threat of wintry weather around WNC. Subscribe to my youtube page below to get the most up to date information!