I am tracking two impactful systems that will move through WNC over the next week. The first wave will move through the area beginning Sunday afternoon, and persisting through Monday. This will bring down the arctic air from the north. On the tail end of that, there could be some overrunning development that produces some snow showers around WNC Tuesday into Wednesday. Right now this does not appear to be too high impact of an event, but as we move closers models could resolve more moisture.
What Will The First Front Bring?
Rainfall and cold is the answer. Below you can see the most recent GFS precipitation depiction and I it shows around .5”-1” of rain for most through Monday. Luckily this does not appear to be a large flash flood threat, simply because its duration will not last too long. The front moves through quickly and the arctic air rushes in behind.
GFS Total Precipitation Through next Monday Courtesy of Weathermodels.com
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GFS Projected Temps Next Wednesday AM Courtesy of Weathermodels.com
Arctic Air Threats Spring Blooms
This blast of arctic air will really damage Spring flowers that have already came out. These low temperatures will also damage tree buds that have prematurely bloomed. Sadly this will harm wildflowers in the higher elevations, and do a great deal of damage to early crops around the area, so please prepare for this cold snap.
Snow Chances Tuesday?
There is a slight chance for some snow shower development on Tuesday, but models have backed off considerably from what they initially showed earlier this week (imagine that). With the type events, small amounts of moisture can produce a couple of inches of snow when it get so cold.. and a lot of uncertainly still remains. Keep checking back here though, I will update on a regular basis regarding the latest on the potential for a few snow flakes around WNC.
