Models continue to show an Upper Level Low moving through WNC early this week and stalling across the State of NC. As it stalls it will dump buckets of rainfall all week on the area. Flash flooding will certainly be possible around the area, as most areas will see 3”+ of rainfall through Friday evening. Locations along the Blue Ridge Escarpment could rake in over 6” of rainfall as the orientation of the flow really enhances along these area. Below is the most recent model data showing what is possible as the week progresses. Remember that these upper level lows are difficult to predict, and sometimes they bring with them a multitude of surprises.

Model Data

The most recent GFS shows shows many areas around WNC receiving over 3” of rainfall through Friday PM. Also notice the temperature spread for the next several days. The GFS is showing temps only getting into the low 60s on Wednesday! This would shatter a record low high temperature 71 degrees set back in 1890! So to recap, the GFS is showing the temperature only getting in the low 60’s on June 21st, this hasn’t happened since June 21st, 1890 when the temperature only got to 71 that day. That should show you how cool we are going to be in comparsion to what it normally feels like in Asheville in the middle of June.

All Around Nasty Week In Store

With the kids out for Summer, this will not be the week to be at the pool unfortunately. Might be a good time today on Fathers Day to run out all of that energy, because it is going to get soggy around WNC over the next week. Then all eyes will turn to a tropical wave in the Atlantic and what that will provide for July 4th weekend. Stick around for more info, I have another update here soon as more information become available regarding the upper level low!