Soggy Christmas Day In Store For WNC Leads To Pattern Change To End The Year
Front Moves Through Christmas Day
Some much needed rainfall will move through WNC on Monday beginning around 8-10am. This will persist throughout most of the day, so getting out to play with those new toys might require a rain coat! I am expecting between .5” and 1.5” of rainfall for most everyone around the area, but isolated totals could vary. Below you can see the European models most recent precipitation forecast.
European Model Total Precipitation Through Tuesday Courtesy of Pivotalweather.com
NC/TN Line To Stay Mostly Dry Until Upper Level Low
With these type of rainfall events, locations along the NC/TN line will struggle to see significant precipitation. As you can see on the European model above the total precip really tappers off as you approach the State Line. This rain shadow is usually present when the moisture moves in from the Gulf. Locations along the NC/SC State Line could see over 2” of rainfall as moisture is squeezed out. As rainfall moves out, an Upper Level Low will move through and that will change the direction of the moisture flow Tuesday evening. Snow chances will increase moving into the end of next week for many.
Snowfall Chances Increase For WNC As 2023 Comes To A Close
Models are hinting at a favorable pattern change for snow lovers as early as mid to late next week. There appears to be a decent 2 week window in which a snowstorm could happen. I am not saying this will for certain happen, but models are showing a very favorable pattern similar to those in the past that we have seen produce snowfall in the South. With Upper Level Lows there is always great uncertainty and we could see a dramatic shift on the models away from this pattern, but as of now there is a favorable window between the 27th of Dec & Jan 2nd for a few rounds of snowfall to occur. I will have more soon so check back!