Cold Front To Move In This Weekend

The first real cold front of the 2023-2024 cold weather season will move through late Friday and into Saturday. A very few scattered showers will be possible during the day on Friday, and even into Saturday morning, but by mid day Saturday the front will be through. Then Sunday morning temps will plummet into the upper 30’s. Below is the most recent GFS model run with projected temps. Check out Sunday and Monday lows, we could even have our first frost of the Fall in some areas.

How Much Rain Will We See?

Very minimal unfortunately. The drought around the area continues to deepen and this front won’t bring much to aid. This will begin to effect leaf season as well. Leaves are already faintly changing and letting loose, leading me to believe that color this year will be dismal. Winds this weekend will also knock off many leaves possibly before they even change due to the drought. Winds will gust to 20mph throughout the day on Saturday and Sunday. This will increase the wildfire threat around the area as well. With very limited rainfall in the 7 day forecast, the drought conditions will increase. Burning leaves is not recommended at this time.

Long Range Drought Relief

Signs on long range models point to another front moving through sometime during the middle of next week. The GFS shows a Gulf low whereas the Euro shows a form of a cutter. The Gulf low would certainly bring a good chance of rain for WNC into next weekend, but there is without a doubt uncertainty as to how that front will unfold. Check back soon I will keep you updated on the unfolding pattern!