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AshevilleWX Projected Snowfall Map For February 28th-29th

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Accumulating snowfall will be likely again for many around WNC as a shortwave front moves through the area beginning on Friday. Below you can see my projected snowfall map from this wave.

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When Will Precipitation Begin

Precipitation will push over the Appalachian Mountains sometime late Friday morning or early Friday afternoon. This initial burst could be heavy for several locations around WNC, and will hammer elevations above 3500’. Then another push of moisture will come late Friday night or early Saturday morning, and I believe that will be when the best chance for accumulation will come for valley locations around WNC. Below you can se the most recent NAM 3km precipitation depiction.

NAM 3km Precipitation Depiction Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

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What Do Model Snowfall Maps Show?

The NAM 3km depicts a similar event to what I am forecasting, but I do believe that accumulation totals could be bit higher in some valley locations as this flow persists. Over the past several runs, we have seen the valley around Asheville increase in shading. This accumulation appears to come late Friday night or early Saturday morning, but snow showers will be possible throughout the day on Friday.

NAM 3km Snowfall Map Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

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Temps Fall Back Into 20’s Saturday AM

Taking a look at the most recent NAM 3km and you can see how temperatures plummet into the 20’s again after the front passes. Highs on Saturday will struggle to reach 40 degrees, so it will not be the best day for outdoor activities. Sunday appears to be the choice day of this weekend if you are planning to get outside!

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More Rain In Store Next Week

As if you haven’t seen enough, rain will move back into the forecast later in the day Monday, and that will persist through at least Wednesday. Flash flooding concerns will also increase with this next system that appears to be a prolonged frontal passage. Below you can see the projected temps and rainfall for the next 10 days. Low temps will barely dip below freezing so it will be relatively nice temp-wise. Precipitation though will make working outdoors a hassle again this week. Check back soon for another update regarding the progression of this impending rainfall.

Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

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