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First Fall Frost Possible For Many Around WNC Saturday Morning

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It’s that time of the year again when those cold fronts begin to sweep in from the North, and temperatures start to fall close to freezing. With that comes the threat of frost. This time we are talking about frost a couple of weeks early in the mountains of WNC, but a frost does appear likely on Saturday morning for many. Below you can see the long range European model, and what it shows for the next 10 days. In fact, there are a couple of chances for frost as we progress through next week.

10 Day European Model Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

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Model Spread

So as you can see above the European model indicates a below normal pattern that will persist through at least next week. That is perfect for cool weather, and fall color fans alike! Let’s take a look at the GFS below now and you can see it has a much more defiant warm up next week compared to the Euro.

Long Range GFS Courtesy of Weathermodels.com

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How Will This Affect Fall Color

Dry and cool periods are known for enhancing fall color, and with most models showing very limited precipitation over the next week, I expect fall color to really increase in the higher elevations. Locations like Craggy Gardens will peak this weekend or early next week, as will locations like the Black Balsam & Graveyard Fields Area. Check out our interactive map below to see where your location will peak!

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Frost Could Be Isolated

Locations around bodies of water will be where frost is most likely to form, but even many valley locations could get in on the frost if the wind dies down enough. With winds projected to be 3mph or so at the Asheville airport, frost will have no problem forming where the temperature gets cold enough. It would be wise to bring in sensitive plants to ensure their survival for another several days. It does appear to be a wonderful week though, so get out and enjoy the beautiful scenery!

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