First Snowflakes Of The Season Possible Above 4500' Friday AM For WNC
Thats right! It’s that time of the year where backside moisture from frontal passages gets strained out along the NC/TN border. This first Northwest flow event looks to have very minimal impacts, and accumulation, if any, is still in question. That being said, it does appear that the first flakes of the 2019-2020 season will fly late Thursday night and into the morning on Friday above 4500’. This is about a week and a half late per the average for elevations above 4500’, but it certainly isn’t the latest ever. Below you can see the most recent Nam 3km Precipitation type for early Friday morning.
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Below you can see the total model run of precipitation depiction, and as you can after showers clear.. precipitation builds in the highest elevations along the NC/TN border. That is when flakes will fly.
Courtesy of Weathermodels.com
Little If Any Accumulation Expected
I am not expecting much of any accumulation, possible 1/4” to 1/2” on Roan Mt. could be possible.. but the ground is warm. Below you can see the Nam 3km snowfall totals and it echos that sentiment. That could change though, and I will keep you update if we expect more accumulation.
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Courtesy of Weathermodels.com
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Below Freezing Likely For Most Friday AM
Here you can see a Gif of the most recent Nam 3km and it shows temperatures plummeting into the upper 20’s around Asheville as the front passes. This will be a shock to the system! Please be prepared on Friday morning to wear a heavy coat!